Hurricane Dorian

[Mister Obvious]

It's gonna start turning southwest at the west end of Grand Bahama.

[Mister Obvious]

It's going to be avoiding that hook on Grand Bahama by heading southerly around it...

https://i.imgur.com/f00vJmy.png

[Mister Obvious]

At this point there is absolutely no reason to think it's going to turn north at all.

[Mister Obvious]

It will directly hit somewhere on the east Florida coast, the only question is where.

[Mister Obvious]

https://i.imgur.com/Kjy0iJL.png

The distance between the hurricane and that outer band only suggests it's going to get bigger and keep heading west-southwest.

[Mister Obvious]

It's gonna clip the west side of Grand Bahama heading west-southwest...

Then it's gonna hook around and hit straight into Florida and go up the coastline with more of the storm on land than in water.

That's my take on it currently.

[Mister Obvious]

https://i.imgur.com/Y9mEym7.png

That's what I think at the moment.

[Mister Obvious]

So their models now have it getting close to the coast by Daytona...

Which means it'll probably be a direct hit somewhere well south of that area.

[Mister Obvious]

Lookner is a great reporter.

[Mister Obvious]

I’m sorry, but #Dorian is not running parallel to the LAT. It has a very minute southerly component to it. Hope I’m dead wrong. (And yes I understand that there is usually a “wobble” but didn’t see one in this loop).

https://twitter.com/ARomero_WX/status/11...1197447168

[Mister Obvious]

Basic sheeple now waking up...

https://twitter.com/Itz_Ty1er/status/116...5069178880

[Mister Obvious]

Look at this shit...

Here is a long duration animation loop from early this morning to this evening.

https://twitter.com/RadarOmega_WX/status...9874881537

Look at all the shit that just pops up out of nowhere between 0:10 - 0:11.

This total monster is coming straight at Florida and that's all there is to it.

Look how intact that eyewall is...

Fucking unbelievable.

[Mister Obvious]

It's expanding and wrapping downward... west-southwest.

[Mister Obvious]

Look at all the energy it's still taking from the Gulf... massive fueling happening right now.

Tons of severe weather even aside from the hurricane will start taking place now in Florida.

[Mister Obvious]

It's my guess that it will start pulling south now in a big way...

I think it will start going markedly south for a time, but then turn for a direct hit circa West Palm Beach.

[Mister Obvious]

Now it looks like it'll be a cat. 4 wherever it hits.

[Mister Obvious]

Could go down to a cat. 3 if mercy is shown.

[Mister Obvious]

It's like it took all the heat of the Gulf after sunset and it's been wrapping around it in bands ever since.

Again, I ain't no scientist person but...

That's the best I can describe it.

[Mister Obvious]

That Gulf system was determined to fuel Dorian west-southwest no matter what.

[Mister Obvious]

Dorian essentially cannibalized that Gulf system.